Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.364977 1.643371 1.984240 2.439210 3.041323 3.826823e+00 4.956793
2024-12-29 1.006078 1.339779 1.809735 2.548292 3.737872 5.697433e+00 9.471571
2025-01-05 0.794738 1.131206 1.652494 2.575044 4.308757 7.801630e+00 16.762988
2025-01-12 0.646078 0.962715 1.487359 2.500863 4.649855 9.785439e+00 27.135934
2025-01-19 0.548249 0.847101 1.369803 2.456189 5.016799 1.220247e+01 44.749665
2025-01-26 0.503359 0.807991 1.372554 2.644955 6.036649 1.768266e+01 98.807188
2025-02-02 0.461358 0.764221 1.353377 2.777666 7.024136 2.483458e+01 234.146869
2025-02-09 0.415501 0.704345 1.286875 2.772772 7.617454 3.177390e+01 532.957582
2025-02-16 0.372348 0.642424 1.202465 2.692653 7.918810 3.822564e+01 1223.195531
2025-02-23 0.345556 0.608529 1.171905 2.748650 8.800732 5.172795e+01 5625.187554
2025-03-02 0.326127 0.586454 1.163252 2.866080 10.084368 7.538338e+01 163061.436311
2025-03-09 0.304205 0.555947 1.128567 2.892512 11.010693 1.027126e+02 NaN
2025-03-16 0.277695 0.512983 1.057663 2.784770 11.204619 1.237956e+02 NaN
2025-03-23 0.264385 0.497217 1.052356 2.901754 12.883318 1.985653e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.248799 0.474366 1.024584 2.930288 14.109508 2.970462e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.230624 0.443535 0.970451 2.841728 14.442475 3.829720e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.215706 0.418635 0.928591 2.788753 15.039831 5.273315e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.211117 0.417304 0.951771 3.012115 18.466190 1.336970e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.204551 0.410436 0.957984 3.169688 21.795169 3.737362e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.194147 0.393080 0.930393 3.163867 23.415981 8.330621e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.182489 0.371532 0.887049 3.068689 23.811808 1.524359e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 0.175621 0.361304 0.876926 3.135194 26.711471 9.075946e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 0.170773 0.355675 0.880288 3.274899 31.397139 1.244108e+08 NaN